Pinterest stock trades at $19 against a $43 TIKR target. See the full valuation model on TIKR for free →
Pinterest, Inc. (PINS) committed $4 billion to Amazon Web Services through 2031 on June 4, 2026, its largest-ever infrastructure deal, one month after Q1 revenue of $1.008 billion beat analyst estimates by around 4%.
The platform serves 631 million logged-in monthly active users at an all-time high, who use AI-powered visual search and a proprietary taste graph, trained on hundreds of billions of user interactions, to discover products and take real-world action.
PINS Stock Q1 2026 Earnings in USD (TIKR)
Q1 revenue rose 18% year-over-year to $1.008 billion, above the $968 million consensus, while adjusted EBITDA of $207 million surpassed the $176 million estimate and expanded the EBITDA margin to 20.5%, as Europe grew 27% and Rest of World grew 59% year-over-year.
Pinterest guided Q2 revenue to $1.133 billion to $1.153 billion, implying 14% to 16% year-over-year growth, above the $1.11 billion analyst consensus.
The AWS deal brings Amazon’s Graviton and Trainium chips to Pinterest’s AI infrastructure, accelerating PinRec, the proprietary generative retrieval system that improved search fulfillment and reduced advertiser CPA and CPC by approximately 180 basis points each in Q1.
Chief Technology Officer Matt Madrigal said in Q1 earnings call: “This expanded commitment with AWS gives us the compute flexibility, hardware optionality, and infrastructure efficiency to accelerate our AI vision.”
Pinterest also completed $2 billion in share repurchases through Q1, buying 109 million shares at approximately $18 and reducing shares outstanding by around 16%, with activist investor Elliott’s $1 billion equity stake backing a newly authorized $3.5 billion repurchase program carrying $2 billion still available.
Following the Q1 beat, Zephirin Group upgraded Pinterest stock from sell to buy and raised its target to $30 from $17, the most dramatic analyst rating action on the stock in the post-earnings period.
Pinterest committed $4 billion to AWS to power its AI platform. Track how the compute investment shows up in Q2 revenue on TIKR for free →
Street Analysts Target for PINS Stock (TIKR)
As of June 25, 2026, 35 analysts cover Pinterest stock, rating it 17 Buy, 2 Outperform, 19 Hold, and 1 Underperform, with a street mean target of $28 and a street high of $42, implying around 47% and around 121% upside from the current price of $19, respectively.
The buy count fell from 26 in December to 17 today as the stock dropped from $26 to $18 in Q1, with the mean target compressing from $37 to $28 over the same period.
Zephirin Group’s post-Q1 upgrade from sell to buy, with a target raise to $30 from $17, marks the most visible shift in the other direction, and the 19 holds in the current distribution represent the pool of potential upgrades that a sustained mid-teens revenue trajectory would convert.
PINS Stock Revenue Actuals & Estimates (TIKR)
Wall Street expects Pinterest stock’s revenue to reach around $1.15 billion in Q2 2026, growing around 15% year-over-year, an expectation built on Performance+ adoption continuing to expand beyond the current 30% of lower-funnel revenue and SMB spend growth offsetting ongoing caution from the platform’s largest retail advertisers.
The consensus projects Q3 2026 revenue at around $1.20 billion (around 14% growth) and Q4 2026 at around $1.51 billion (around 14% growth), a mid-teens baseline that reflects the Street’s view that Pinterest’s AI-driven monetization transition is on track but has yet to fully close the gap between the platform’s engagement strength and its ad revenue capture rate.
The Q2 revenue print, targeted at $1.133 billion to $1.153 billion, will determine whether Q1’s AI platform gains translate into a durable mid-teens trajectory, and if Pinterest delivers the high end while EBITDA margins hold near 24%, the 19 holds in the current coverage distribution find their conversion trigger before Q3.
TIKR’s mid-case model values Pinterest at around $43 by December 2030, implying around 122% total return from the current price of $19, or roughly 19% annualized over 4.5 years.
PINS Stock Valuation Model Results (TIKR)
The roughly 19% annualized return positions Pinterest stock as one of the higher-return opportunities across large-cap social media, where mature platforms trade at premium multiples while delivering mid-single-digit annual returns, and the gap between $19 and $43 reflects a market pricing Pinterest stock as a stalled advertising platform rather than an undermonetized one with a working AI engine.
The $43 target requires no heroic revenue assumptions, resting on a platform where 631 million logged-in MAUs are at a record high, a Q1 beat confirmed the AI ad engine generates measurable returns for advertisers, a $4 billion AWS infrastructure commitment secures the compute capacity to extend those gains across a larger advertiser base, and a $3.5 billion buyback program signals management’s conviction that $19 substantially undervalues the business.
TIKR’s mid-case values Pinterest at $43 by December 2030, implying around 122% total return. Build your own model on TIKR for free →
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