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Econbrowser

The Econbrowser column focuses on macroeconomics, financial markets, economic data, and policy analysis, making it useful for users who follow economic cycles and market trends.

Econbrowser's Articles

Nowcasts/Forecasts of GDP

GDPNow updated downward: Figure 1: GDP (bold black), GDPNow of 6/26 (blue square), St . Louis Fed news nowcast of 6/26 (orange circle), NY Fed nowcast of 6/19 (

2026/06/27

LLMs and IMF Advice, Dollar Trinity, Risk-On/Risk -Off and Loanly Govts: (Almost) Live-Blogging ISOM 2026

Jeffrey Frankel and Hélène Rey organized a great conference for the NBER’s International Seminar on Macroeconomics, hosted by the Sveriges Riksbank; topics covered

2026/06/26

Business Cycle Indicators as of End-June

Personal income, consumption, slightly above consensus; manufacturing and trade industry sales (April), and 3rd release GDO: Figure 1: NFP employment (bold blue

2026/06/26

Guest Contribution: “1776”

Today, we present a guest post written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, and formerly a member of the White House

2026/06/21

Retail Sales and Retail Sales ex-Auto, Gas

Here’re some business cycle indicators with deflated retail sales: Figure 1: Civilian employment adjusted to NFP concept smoothed population controls (bold orange

2026/06/18